2021 manoj prediction virtual prediction system by manoj kaushal multi media video pdf magic tricks
Компакт-Диски, CENTURY MEDIA, AFFLICTED - Prodigal Sun (CD)
Каталожный номер 19658784672, Формат CD, Лейбл CENTURY MEDIA1 Prodigal Sun2 Harbouring The Soul3 In Years To Come4 Tidings From The Blue Sphere5 The Empty Word6 Astray7 Rising Into The Sun8 Spirit Spectrum9 The Doomwatcher's Prediction10 Consumed In Flames11 Ivory Tower
3600 Руб.
Компакт-диск Warner Voice – Prediction
Исполнитель: VoiceАльбом: PredictionСтиль: металТип: ЛицензияУпаковка: JewelКомментарий: + bookletСостояние: Second Hand
1030 Руб.
Компакт-диск Warner Voice – Prediction
Исполнитель: VoiceАльбом: PredictionСтиль: металТип: ЛицензияУпаковка: JewelКомментарий: + bookletСостояние: Second Hand
1030 Руб.
Welch Florence Useless Magic. Lyrics, Poetry and Sermons
The perfect gift for fans of Florence + the Machine, with additional lyrics, poems and a new chapter of sermons Songs can be incredibly prophetic, like subconscious warnings or messages to myself, but I often don't know what I'm trying to say till years later. Or a prediction comes true and I couldn't do anything to stop it, so it seems like a kind of useless magic.
5440 Руб.
Silver N. The Signal and the Noise
UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER "One of the more momentous books of the decade." -The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger-all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox": The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good-or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary-and dangerous-science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read.
967 Руб.
Silver N. The Signal and the Noise
UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER "One of the more momentous books of the decade." -The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger-all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox": The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good-or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary-and dangerous-science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read.
967 Руб.
Welch F. Useless Magic: Lyrics, Poetry and Sermons
The perfect gift for fans of Florence + the Machine, with additional lyrics, poems and a new chapter of sermons. Songs can be incredibly prophetic, like subconscious warnings or messages to myself, but I often don’t know what I’m trying to say till years later. Or a prediction comes true and I couldn’t do anything to stop it, so it seems like a kind of useless magic.
2841 Руб.
Welch F. Useless Magic: Lyrics, Poetry and Sermons
The perfect gift for fans of Florence + the Machine, with additional lyrics, poems and a new chapter of sermons. Songs can be incredibly prophetic, like subconscious warnings or messages to myself, but I often don’t know what I’m trying to say till years later. Or a prediction comes true and I couldn’t do anything to stop it, so it seems like a kind of useless magic.
2841 Руб.
Виниловые пластинки, Crunchy Frog, THE RAVEONETTES - Whip It On / Chain Gang Of Love - The Og (LP)
Каталожный номер FROG 190-1, Формат LP, Лейбл Crunchy FrogA1 Attack Of The Ghost RidersA2 Veronica FeverA3 Do You Believe HerA4 ChainsA5 Cops On Our TailA6 My TornadoA7 Bowels Of The BeastA8 Beat CityB1 RememberB2 New York Was GreatB3 Dirty EyesB4 BubblegumB5 Chain Gang Of LoveB6 I Get SickB7 Noisy SummerB8 The Truth About JohnnyDrums - Jakob HøyerGuitar - Manoj RamdasPerformer, Bass, Vocals - Sharin FooPerformer, Written By, Guitar, Drums, Vocals - Sune Rose Wagner
3800 Руб.
Marx Karl Capital. Volume 3
Unfinished at the time of Marx's death in 1883 and first published with a preface by Frederick Engels in 1894, the third volume of Das Kapital strove to combine the theories and concepts of the two previous volumes in order to prove conclusively that capitalism is inherently unworkable as a permanent system for society. Here, Marx asserts controversially that - regardless of the efforts of individual capitalists, public authorities or even generous philanthropists - any market economy is inevitably doomed to endure a series of worsening, explosive crises leading finally to complete collapse. But healso offers an inspirational and compelling prediction: that the end of capitalism will culminate, ultimately, in the birth of a far greater form of society.
4532 Руб.
Aten Переключатель KA7189 USB DisplayPort Virtual Media KVM Adapter Cable Support Smart Card Reader and Audio De-Embedder
КВМ-адаптер USB, DisplayPort c поддержкой Virtual Media (поддержка считывателя карт общего доступа и извлечения звука)/ USB DisplayPort Virtual Media KVM Adapter КВМ-адаптер USB, DisplayPort c поддержкой Virtual Media (поддержка считывателя карт общего доступа и извлечения звука)
30961 Руб.
Cerrone Виниловая пластинка Cerrone DNA
Состояние носителя: S. Состояние конверта: S. DNA. Виниловая пластинка . Gatefold, + cd A1 The Impact 5:33 A2 Resolution 3:47 A3 Air Dreaming 4:45 A4 DNA 5:30 B1 I've Got A Rocket 4:12 B2 Let Me Feel 4:08 B3 Close To The Sky 3:33 B4 Experience 4:04 B5 Prediction 4:58 CD-1 The Impact 5:33 CD-2 Resolution 3:47 CD-3 Air Dreaming 4:45 CD-4 DNA 5:30 CD-5 I've Got a Rocket 4:12 CD-6 Let Me Feel 4:08 CD-7 Close to the Sky 3:33 CD-8 Experience 4:04 CD-9 Prediction 4:58 Тип носителя: Виниловая пластинка
9699 Руб.
Наручные часы FOSSIL, белый
Наручные часы Fossil CH2890 Prediction - это стильные и элегантные аксессуары сочетающие в себе высокое качество и современный дизайн. Эти часы идеально подойдут как для повседневного использования, так и для особых мероприятий. Они подчеркнут индивидуальность и статус своего владельца, являясь не только показателем времени, но и стильным аксессуаром.
15181 Руб.
Kazakovtsev B. A. Mental Disorders in Epilepsy
The monograph shows the opportunity to study the pathogenesis of mental disorders in epilepsy based on the characteristics of its flow using clinical methods, structural dynamic, epidemiological and statistical analysis. Structural and dynamic analysis of the major clinical manifestations of the disease (features of personality changes, paroxysmal disorders, psychotic symptoms, dementia) held in accordance with the main patterns of development of the disease, its types and stages. On the basis of the multi-axial classification of epilepsy was developed a model that allows in a retrospective analysis of anamnestic data and clinical assessment to establish clinical and social criteria for prognosis prediction
1037 Руб.
Herge The Castafiore Emerald
One of the most iconic characters in children’s books When Captain Haddock meets a palm reader, he dismisses a forewarning about a beautiful lady’s stolen jewels. When the famous opera singer Bianca Castafiore suddenly descends on Marlinspike Hall, the palm reader’s prediction seems to be all too real. Can Tintin catch the emerald thief? The world’s most famous travelling reporter must attempt to catch an Emerald thief. When Captain Haddock meets a palm reader, he dismisses a forewarning about a beautiful lady's stolen jewels. But when the famous opera singer Bianca Castafiore suddenly descends on Marlinspike Hall, the palm reader’s prediction seems to be all too real. Can Tintin catch the emerald thief? Join the most iconic character in comics as he embarks on an extraordinary adventure spanning historical and political events, and thrilling mysteries.
1755 Руб.
Amon Amarth. With Oden on Our Side (CD)
Музыкальный альбом группы "Amon Amarth"Список музыкальных треков:Valhall Awaits MeRunes To My MemoryAsatorHermod's Ride To Hel (Lokes Treachery Pt.1)Gods Of War AriseWith Oden On Our SideCry Of The Black BirdsUnder The Northern StarPrediction Of Warfare.
699 Руб.